Some Polling Predictions for the 2012 Presidential and Senate Elections
Website Obama EV Romney EV Toss-up EV D+I Senate Rep Senate Website Link
Nov. 4, 2012 9:00PM
Gott-Colley 291 234 13 Site
NYT 538 307 231 53 48 Site
Princeton 303 235 54 46 Site
Electoral Vote 281 206 51 52 45 Site
Votamatic 332 206 Site
DeSart 281 257 Site
RealClearPolitics 201 191 146 Site
UnSkewedPolls 227 311 52 48 Site
FrontloadingHQ 332 206 Site
ElectionProjection 290 248 51 49 Site
Median 291 233 52 48
Nov. 5, 2012 11:00AM
Gott-Colley 291 234 13 Notes
NYT 538 307 231 53 48
Princeton 305 233 53 47
Electoral Vote 294 220 24 51 45 4 Senate toss-ups
Votamatic 332 206
DeSart 290 248
RealClearPolitics 201 191 146 49 44 7 senate toss-ups
UnSkewedPolls 227 311 53 47
FrontloadingHQ 332 206
ElectionProjection 303 235 53 47
Median 299 232 53 47
Nov. 6, 2012 Finals - 11AM
Gott-Colley 304 234 Notes
NYT 538 313 225 53 48
Princeton 312 226 53 47
Electoral Vote 303 220 15 51 45 4 Senate toss-ups
Votamatic 332 206
DeSart 303 235
RealClearPolitics 201 191 146 49 44 7 senate toss-ups
UnSkewedPolls 263 275 53 47
FrontloadingHQ 332 206
ElectionProjection 303 235 53 47
Median 304 226 53 47
Final Results 332 206
Eight of nine prognosticators in this group correctly picked Obama to defeat Romney. Votamatic by Drew Linzer
and FontLoadingHQ by Josh Putnam were right on the button. I'm not sure when Putnam arrived at 332 but Linzer
was remarkably prescient with very little change since July! Congratulations to them and their colleagues that predicted
an Obama victory.